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Will Every Industry Have its Tesla?

Will Every Industry Have its Tesla?

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Elron: All right. Good afternoon, weโ€™ll get started. Thank you for leaving the nice lunch tent and joining us here. We have an exciting panel this afternoon for you, with some great industry luminaries and leaders, who are going to talk to us about the question of whether every industry will have its own Tesla.
My name is Dan Elron, Iโ€™m with Accenture. Iโ€™m responsible for strategy and innovation. Iโ€™m going to try and moderate, and would like to ask you to participate. Iโ€™m going to break the rules a little bit, and will invite you to also ask questions in the middle, if youโ€™d like, and weโ€™ll have a microphone that will help, hopefully, make this interactive and make it exciting despite the after-lunch hour.
Letโ€™s get started. What does it mean to ask the question, will every industry have its own Tesla? Everybody has a slightly different interpretation of what Tesla is doing. Clearly, I think we all know, that Tesla is not just an automotive industry company. They do make cars and you see a lot of them in California, but theyโ€™re also into energy storage, batteries, maybe home energy storage, other kinds of transportation. So theyโ€™re a slightly different company than what you typically will find in the industry. Also, just a little factoid, the market cap of Tesla is about two-thirds of that of GM or Ford. Something to think about.
Let me introduce our panel, who we have with me here. First of all, to my left here is Ali Diab, heโ€™s the co-founder and CEO of Collective Health. Next to him is Scott Sanborn, who is the chief operating officer of Lending Club. Right after him is Jake Seid, who is the president of Auction.com. Last but not least is Dane Howard, who is the director of global brand experience at eBay. So as you can see, we have representatives of complicated industries, some of them regulated industries, larger company and some smaller companies.
And weโ€™ll start the discussion with a simple question, it is: what does your company do, and how do you see the industry affected by your company? So, Ali, Iโ€™m going to start with you.
Diab: Thanks for the intro. Collective Health is a software technology company that enables employers to self-insure their health plans and thereby forgo buying traditional health insurance. I would say that the way that our company impacts our industry, which is health insuranceโ€”or health payments, maybe, more generallyโ€”is by taking a novel software or tech-centric approach to the problem of how do you pay for healthcare. And in this country being specific, employers cover the vast majority of expenses in healthcare, in health insurance more specifically, and so we focused on that segment, because we feel thatโ€™s where weโ€™re going to get the most leverage.
And I think, maybe not to jump ahead a little bit, but to answer the question, will every industry have its Tesla, I think the question to me is even more generic, which is: will every industry have a disruptor, and I think thatโ€™s what Tesla sort of represents. It represents a fresh set of eyes on an old problem, and a fresh approach to solving that problem, and I think we are doing just that, and I think thatโ€™s what the Valley is sort of famous for.
Elron: Okay, great. Scott? And before Scott speaks, just so you know, he is in the fortunate position of being in the pre-IPO position, so he wonโ€™t be able to answer every question that we might have.
Sanborn: Right, thanks Dan. So I am with Lending Club. What we do is, we are the largest lending marketplace. And what that means is, we have on one side borrowers, people who are seeking capital that can either be individuals or businesses; and on the other side we have investors who can fund those loans in exchange for interest income. And Lending Club sits in the middle, underwrites, prices the loans, services the loans, and enables, kind of the regulatory framework that makes that all possible.
In terms of the question vis-ร -vis Tesla, I think thereโ€™s a couple interesting things worth thinking about. One is, I think, were you starting a car company from scratch today, you would ask yourself is the current model the way you would build it? And I think Tesla answered that with a, โ€œno.โ€ Lending Club is saying the same thing about the current banking system, you know? Would you create thousands of bank branches all across the country? Would you attract deposits, have those deposits guaranteed by the federal government and then lend those out? Probably not.
And then the other thing thatโ€™s interesting, part of what makes Tesla so hard to pin down as to what theyโ€™re doing, is that theyโ€™ve really vertically integrated all of those pieces, and you know, from the distribution model through to the ongoing maintenance model, and Lending Club is doing sort of the same thing. If you look atโ€”weโ€™re attracting the borrowers, weโ€™re underwriting them, weโ€™re pricing them, weโ€™re servicing them, weโ€™re grading them, essentially, and weโ€™re issuing the security that associated with their sale. So weโ€™ve kind of compressed and reduced the intermediation costs that are present in the current banking system by putting it all together under one roof.
Elron: Okay. And just as a little unsolicited commercial, Iโ€™ve been an investor in Lending Club, and last time I looked my rate of return was 10.7 percent for the money I gave them to distribute, which is slightly higher than my regular bank would typically pay.
Sanborn: Good to hear.
Elron: Okay. Jake.
Seid: Iโ€™m Jake Seid, with Auction.com. So weโ€™re the largest online marketplace for real estate transactions. You can think of us as the commerce analog of what Zillow and Trulia do. Those companies focused on content and really lead-gen, and weโ€™re like an eBay for real estate, where the deal getsโ€”people go to our site to consummate the transaction. And this is everything from a home to a $75 million building. One of the things that we see in this phase of the Internet isโ€”and you look at the panelists hereโ€”really tackling regulated parts of the economy, and thatโ€™s really kind of what weโ€™re in the heart of, is an industry that is highly regulated, has deep entrenched interest. For us, our approach was almost to change it as an insider, as opposed to maybe what youโ€™ve seen with Uber and Airbnb saying, โ€œHey, weโ€™re going to do things very differently than the regulations.โ€
Same with Tesla. Tesla has taken an approach of saying, โ€œWeโ€™re going to do things very differently than what the regulations state.โ€ You know, given the lobbies that exist in our industry, we said, โ€œLook, if weโ€™re not whiter than white, itโ€™s going to be very challenging to even get going,โ€ and so weโ€™ve taken kind of an insider approach, and evolving the industry through that method.
Elron: Okay, great. Dane?
Howard: So, most of theโ€”when I say, what does eBay do, usually people have a perception of what they do, and we end upโ€”we actually built something called our Commerce Innovation Center, where we take companies through and actually weโ€™re in the process of educating them about what we really do. And you suppose that you know marketplaces, but today weโ€™re fast-becoming a mobile company. Just south of 50 percent, 48 percent of all of our transactions go through mobile. I had the privilege to be one of the first designers on mobile, so Iโ€™ve watched this transformation of how we have listened to our customers on what they want in commerce today. But thereโ€™s also the payment side, and thereโ€™s also how we serve our customers. We quietly serve a lot of B2B customers in their infrastructure.
So as we think about enabling commerce for people, our big challenge or opportunity is to say, โ€œWell, how do we disrupt by doing it through commerce enabled by people?โ€ And so when I had a chance to invite Franz, whoโ€™s the head designer of Tesla, into eBay, he would tell me it was really hard to start from nothing. He sat quietly in the back room of SpaceX, you know? And that felt, to me, I really identified, because when there is momentum out there in the business, you become the quiet group, and so how do you create momentum inside of a large organization, for something? And so he would say that one of his hardest things to do was to start from nothing, and if you think about the disruption that they created, it was interesting what the leadership put forth. He said, โ€œCreate a car in four yearsโ€”oh, I mean two and a halfโ€”and by the way, it has to go from 0 to 60 in four seconds, and it has to have a 300-mile range, and it also needs to have a $50,000 price point.โ€ Never been done.
Well the perception, the consumer perception for EVsโ€”or electronic vehiclesโ€”is nothing short than a golf course. Thatโ€™s the only experience that humans ever had. So they had the challenge of not just reinventing automotive, but how do you change the perception of how your commute might be? And so what I identify with is their tenacious going after the customer, and how they reimagined what the customerโ€”how they would perceive what they had done, through design.
Elron: Dane, one quick thing from our conversations earlierโ€”design seems to be almost a CEO-level concern at eBay. Can you tell us a little bit about that?
Howard: So, I have the great privilege of working with John Maeda, and our CEO, John Donahoe, this year. Johnโ€™s a great leader, and also he has this curiosity, he knows what he doesnโ€™t know. And so he reached out to several advisors and said, โ€œHow do we actually activate design inside of our company?โ€ And so we have a chair of our Design Advisory Board, John Maeda, and I have the privilege of working across all of eBayโ€™s companies right now, to get all those different arrows and points of view pointed in the same direction. So whether you joined the company nine days ago or nine years ago, what weโ€™re doing is activating design across all of our companies.
Elron: I want to get back to Ali. Maybe you can tell us why you started the company; I think thereโ€™s an interesting story there that will explain what youโ€™re doing.
Diab: Sure. I mean. I have no background in health, other than being the son and sibling of physicians. I was working on another startup, a failed startup in the photo-sharing space, last year, and I was sitting at my desk in the middle of the afternoon, and I had this intense pain in the middle of my stomach. And it just kept getting worse and worse and worse, and it wouldnโ€™t go away. So I picked up the phone and I called my brother, heโ€™s a surgeon, and I was like, โ€œHey, I have this really, really intense pain in my stomach, and what do you think I should do?โ€ Iโ€™ve never been hospitalized, never had a health issue before.
So heโ€™s like, โ€œWell itโ€™s probably nothing, given your health history, but just in case, drive yourself to the emergency room and get checked out.โ€ So I did, and I went to the Stanford Emergency Room and I had a CAT scan, and within an hour I was having emergency surgery, and I had most of my small intestine removed. I had a random, freak thing happen, where my small intestine twisted upon itself, and as a result I had basically like a heart attack in my small intestine. And then I spent several weeks in the hospital, including about a week and a half in the ICU in recovery.
And then to add insult to injuryโ€”literallyโ€”when I got home, I came home to a stack of explanations of benefitsโ€”you know, those lovely things that look like bills, but say, โ€œThis is not a bill,โ€ and also a whole bunch of denial of coverage forms. And I was like, โ€œDenial of coverage?โ€โ€”and I had the best of the best PPO health plan at the time. And so basically I spent the next four months trying to figure out why my insurance company wouldnโ€™t pay for things. And it was bad enough that they wouldnโ€™t pay for things, but it was almost worse trying to understand why they wouldnโ€™t pay for things and just interacting with them. And really, that was the genesis of the idea. I called a friend of mine whoโ€™s my co-founder, whoโ€™s a Stanford physician and Ph.D. in health economics, and I was like, โ€œHey, do you see this often? Is this something that happens in the hospital routinely,โ€ and his response was, โ€œSadly, yes.โ€
And so through the course of the next four or five months, reading everything that we could about why health insurance companies behave the way they do, why hospitals behave the way they do, we discovered that there is a fundamental misalignment of incentives in the value chainโ€”and we felt like as sort of fresh eyes on the problem, we could approach it without all the baggage that the existing incumbents in the industry have, and so really thatโ€™s kind of the simple genesis of the story.
Elron: And so what is your vision, as we heard this morningโ€”itโ€™s a huge industry with very entrenched interests and a huge amount of complexity. How are you approaching your entry into this industry, and how do you see the endgame?
Diab: We approach it from the vantage point of the user, and the question that is we ask ourselves is not, how good can we make it or how much better can we make it, but how should it feel to somebody? And so when I picked up the phone and called my insurer, who Iโ€™ll leave nameless for now, the experience of just trying to speak with someone who could answer my question was like pulling my eyeballs out.
So we start just with the simple premise of, how should it feel when you call your health insurance company? How should they pick up the phone? How should they answer? What should their tone be like? How helpful should they be? What should the posture be like? And so I think itโ€™s kind of related to what Jake is talking about, in terms of the way Tesla sort of set some minimum thresholds of how a car should behave, before embarking on building one. We have some just minimum criteria, in terms of how people should feel when they call their health insurance company.
And we think, given the wallet share that healthcare is in this country, and health insurance specifically represents, that having a shoddy or mediocre experience when you call your health insurance company is just simply not good enough. Like, it has to be exceptionally good, because it takes a lot of money out of our wallets every month, every year, and itโ€™s something that when youโ€™re sort of in that pinch or in that moment, you want help. You want somebody whoโ€™s got your back, not somebody whoโ€™s going to screw you over the minute that they have the opportunity to do so, which is, I think, what everyoneโ€”I mean, I can ask for a show of hands of who loves calling their health insurance company, but when I poll people randomly, they donโ€™t tend to really love their health insurer, and we think you should love your health insurer. They take so much money from you, youโ€™d better love them.
Elron: Will we still have these huge health insurance companies in the U.S. in 10 years, do you think?
Diab: Yes, I think weโ€™ll still have large incumbents, much like the Big Four automakers still exist in spite of Tesla, but I think that unless they change and unless they address just the fundamental issue of serving people betterโ€”or the way they should be served, as I was saying earlierโ€”I donโ€™t think theyโ€™ll exist in the same kind of scale or the same kind of potency that they do currently. They are the largest lobbyists in this country, after the chambers of commerce, so they have a lot of influence, and like I say, they make a lot of money which allows them to wield that influence, but I thinkโ€”and Teslaโ€™s a great exampleโ€”I think that that power can only last so long, even if you use regulation and all sorts of other political chicanery to empower yourself, in the long term.
Elron: Okay, thanks. Scott, when I saidโ€”go ahead.
Sanborn: I was just going to make a comment on what he said. I think thereโ€™s two things that came up that were interesting to think about. One is, you asked the question, whoโ€™s the enemy, and I thinkโ€”itโ€™s an interesting question that I think especially startups are prone to asking, because itโ€™s easy to mobilize the troops against something thatโ€™s out there.
I know in our case, not only do we not view banks as the enemies, theyโ€™re actually our customers. And theyโ€™re our customers, to the benefit of our customers, meaning that we have banks that are funding loans and the loans that theyโ€™re funding are enabling a lower interest rate to the borrowers that meet their credit criteria. So itโ€™s an interesting question ofโ€”we very much set out to say, we donโ€™t think that banks are the problem in our case, itโ€™s more the system, and rather than setting ourselves up against them, it was more a question of what can we do for our customers? How do we actually make that experience better?
And I think the other thing that came up was this question of the regulation, you know? The term disrupt sort of feels like a wrecking ball, and I think that can work in some industries, and I think in other ones, you know, navigating that framework, and making sure that you actually have an ability to be successful and get traction within the bounds of the framework can be important.
Diab: I agree.
Sanborn: Certainly, your industry and my industry both, thereโ€™s tens of thousands of pages of legislation and lobbyists that, you know, you want to at least be aware of what the agenda is and framework is.
Diab: And I would add to thatโ€”I think Scottโ€™s right. You donโ€™t just start a company to pick fights, right? Weโ€™re not picking fights with anyone. We start with a premise of, how should it be, and then start from there.
Elron: And thatโ€™s very much what Peter Thiel, who I guess is an investor?
Diab: He is. Heโ€™s our main investor.
Elron: Yepโ€”says in his book, for those of you who had a chance to read it last night: donโ€™t pick an enemy. Pick a small market and go from there. Jake, how do you see that in your also-complex industry, with a lot of entrenched interests, and quite a bit of regulation, federal and state, etcetera?
Seid: Yeah, you know, the first question that we always get is, are you going to disrupt the real estate agent? Are real estate agents going to be here ten years from now? And you know, for us, we think about ourselves really as an enabling platform. The idea that today, in a real estate transaction, itโ€™s all paper, pencil, and a fax machine, you know, thereโ€™s very little free flow of informationโ€”and the opportunity to make the platform, to use Internet actually to make it more efficient for buyer, sellers, and agents, is something that we believe is an opportunity.
And we think, like other marketplaces that went from offline to online, youโ€™ll have a mix, as opposed to 100 percent intermediated, 100 percent full-feeโ€”youโ€™ll go to a mix of self-service, discount service and full service. Youโ€™ll have discount agents and full-service agents, and the full service agents will focus on something different then they focus on today, because theyโ€™ll have a platform that allows them to spend actually more time on their local market knowledge and handholding the customers. And certainly for buying a home, most people buy once every nine yearsโ€”itโ€™s not unrealistic to think, โ€œHey, I want someone whoโ€™s going to really handhold me through that process.โ€
And so, you know, thatโ€™s kind of our premise, is the Internet actually can be very effective at supporting the existing players, not just saying, โ€œOh, weโ€™ve got to go with the wrecking ball and plow our way through.โ€
Elron: Okay, so do you see yourself working with the real estate agents, getting to the point where there is a transaction, and then it becomes an auction? Whatโ€™s your view of kind of five, seven years ahead?
Seid: Yeah, you know, itโ€™s very similar to, you know, I think what you see in, whether itโ€™s the stock market or StubHub. You know, you can trade stocks today without a broker; thereโ€™s a lot of people who do use a broker and get advice from a broker, get advice from somebody whoโ€™s helping them manage their money and their allocations. And so I really see it evolving in that direction, where, you know, again, the brokers who will be there are people who really have great subject matter expertise, who are really great advisors on a particular local market.
You know, I think also one of the things that the Internet enables in real estate is a democratization of people to participate in real estate as an investment asset class. And you know, we were talking last nightโ€”there was a panel last night, where they said, a photo ofโ€”I think of Elon Musk, or Peter Thiel, with an iPhone. And you know, somebody who could have any phone in the world has an iPhone, and thatโ€™s the same phone that somebody taking the subway or riding a bus, you know, in this area, could have. Thereโ€™s a democratization of whatโ€™s available, from the very wealthy to people who are on a bus. And so, that doesnโ€™t exist in real estate. If youโ€™re wealthy and youโ€™re an insider, you will get inside deals, you will get inside privilege, you will get inside access, and we think that one of the real things that the Internet could bring, six, seven years from now, is a true democratization of people being able to build wealth for themselves, for their kids, for future generations in a way thatโ€™s very complimentary to stocks. Itโ€™s a hard asset, itโ€™s an inflation hedge, thereโ€™s tax benefitsโ€”and a lot of people are locked out of that asset class because of the structure of the system.
So thatโ€™s really what we view as kind of the enemy, or what weโ€™re fighting, is you know, the cost of entry and really the lack of democratization that exists in real estate.
Elron: Okay. One of the things all three of you here have in common is you have to convince consumers to trust you. Trust you with their money, with their health, with their employeeโ€™s healthโ€”and thatโ€™s something that I think eBay has had to deal with from Day One, and still does to a significant extent. So howโ€”what have you learned at eBay, in terms of creating consumer trust in new models, in new ways to transact? Maybe lower risk, initially, with retail, but getting more significantโ€”people buy cars, obviously very significant purchases.
Howard: I like what Ali said about feeling, because weโ€”if you get into the empathetic side of owning a car, making a large purchase like a houseโ€”if you are more empathetic with your customers, you basically have a better understanding of how they might feel. So a couple years ago, we instituted this thing called Buyerโ€™s Trust program, which is, if there was any conflict that happened in the transaction, eBay would immediately step in and take care of the buyer. It was just immediately something that we did. That makes people feel better about the transaction.
But this idea of reimagining the car, or reimagining a mobile experienceโ€”the customers will tell you, like, โ€œListen, Iโ€™m just shopping.โ€ Or, โ€œListen, Iโ€™m justโ€โ€”and if you donโ€™t have that sense of who they are, you canโ€™t take it to this emotional level. But trust isโ€”I didnโ€™t understand it at first, because there would be likeโ€”youโ€™d meet people inside the organization and youโ€™d say, โ€œWhat do you do?โ€ โ€œWell, I work on trust.โ€ And I had toโ€”I needed a way to demystify it a little bit. But what they really were saying is, โ€œNo, we help them feel better about if something goes wrong.โ€
And so, I think this is a really important topic, of how organizations protect feelings, and allow it to happen. You know, Tesla allowed this tiny little group to operate in a tiny way, to protect everything that allowed us to go, โ€œWow, that car is beautiful.โ€ There wasnโ€™t the traditional things that his larger organizations in design would kill, or protect. So Iโ€™m seeing things that we try to recreate inside of eBay, which are smaller teams that are protected, that can have the authority and the momentum to make things. And by making something, one of the greatest compliments you can get from a leader, or an influencer is, โ€œWell, why arenโ€™t we doing that?โ€ And that means that youโ€™ve created something that solicits an emotion inside the organization. So a lot of what we end up doing are becoming momentum-makers for things, and if you look at what theyโ€™ve done, they just created quite a bit of momentum around making a beautiful car that also has all these other qualities. From that position, they create tremendous amount of brand loyalty, and people end up loving their vehicles, which has given them the affordance to then play in other spaces.
But when you asked about the ecosystem, I thought it was interesting thatโ€”Brian Chesky would say that only 5 percent of the customerโ€™s experience is on the website. The rest is the entire experience that you have with Airbnb. So as a leader, as you think holistically about your business, you start to look at the ecosystem of ownership. So for them to get into superchargers, or for them to get into these other businessesโ€”all theyโ€™re doing is extending their customerโ€™s footprint into ownโ€”what does it mean to own a Tesla over several years?
So as great leaders think about their customers that way; they think about what does it mean to have a longer relationship with my customer than get them right through the buy funnel, or get them back to transact again. And thatโ€™s where youโ€™re going to start to feel companies making different decisions now, so now youโ€™re seeing a lot more emphasis, and will see more emphasis, from us in design, as well.
Elron: One thing about Tesla, I think many of you know, is they have very good customer service. If something goes wrong, you talk to an engineer, they can tell you if you drove too fast, or if you ignored the warning about the electricity or the power, or the battery, etcetera. One thing that struck me with Lending Club, when I first sent my money, is somebody actually called meโ€”a live person, very impressive. It wasnโ€™t somebody who just got hired; it was clearly a very educated expert on the product, to walk me through it, and it was probably a 30-minute call, which I thought was a long time. And I kind of was scratching my head, well why would they do that? Thatโ€™s extremely expensive for a startup. So, Scott, can you explain that?
Sanborn: Yeah. So, you kind of hit the nail on the head: trust, especially when the company was starting up, was huge on both sides. You know, on the investor side, you want me to lend money to people Iโ€™ve never met over the Internet, that you havenโ€™t met either, over the Internet, and who are you guys again, that Iโ€™m giving my money too?
Elron: And you donโ€™t take any liability for anythingโ€”
Sanborn: Yeah, exactly, and on the borrowerโ€™s reputationโ€”on the borrowerโ€™s side, it was, you want me to give you all of my information, and what are you going to do with it. So we did a few things on both sides to try and lower those barriers.
I guess, starting on the borrowerโ€™s side, since thatโ€™s a little simpler, was oneโ€”or actually, that covers both, weโ€™re very transparent. So we publish on our website, all the data on all the loans weโ€™ve ever issued, both origination, but also the subsequent performance, so both sides of our platform can see, well, either this is a very substantial amount of loans coming through the systemโ€”borrowers can see that itโ€™s real, and this company is issuing loans, and investors can see the detailed performance. And then, the other thing we do on the borrowerโ€™s side is try and be aware of that give and take of, we donโ€™t askโ€”we only ask for what we need when we need it. So if you were to look at our application versus, say, a bankโ€™sโ€”it isnโ€™t that it is wildly different. What it is is that we donโ€™t ask you two pages of question until we think we need them. So weโ€™ll say, โ€œHowโ€™s your credit and how much are you looking for?โ€ If you say your credit is terrible, weโ€™ll say, โ€œWe probably canโ€™t help you. Donโ€™t bother filling out the rest of this application.โ€ Same thing, we wonโ€™t ask you where you work, your social security number, until we know some basic things, so weโ€™ll see if we can give you an offer. If we can, then we ask you harder information, so kind of easing the barrier and letting it be easier for people to trust us.
On the investor side, what we do is one: we publish the results, not only of all the loans in abstract, but actually the investor returnsโ€”anonymously, but you can see the returns of every single investor who have ever invested on the platform, regardless of their strategy or timing, and all the rest, so you can kind of see what the range of returns is. We make it easy to invest, in the sense of, thereโ€™s no meaningful minimumโ€”so the way it works is, you donโ€™t lend me $10,000, you would lend 400 borrowers $25 each, so theoretically, you could get started with, you know, $25. And then the final piece is, we know that this is a major decision, this is an investment decision, and it can be very useful for people to have somebody to talk to, make sure that their experience is good, that theyโ€™re getting off on the right foot, so we started that program and we said, โ€œLetโ€™s try it. Are people going to be annoyed that weโ€™re calling them?โ€ And what we found was the exact opposite. People were thrilled we called, and now thatโ€™s just kind of a fundamental part of the program.
Diab: I think itโ€™s funny that you asked the question the way that you did, like, isnโ€™t that expensive? Iโ€™m always mystified by people who think customer service is expensive. Like, if you donโ€™t understand your customer, and you lose them, thatโ€™s the most expensive thing that can happen to you as a company. And so, I mean, at least from our vantage point, at Collective Health, our customer operation center is actually in the same officeโ€”itโ€™s actually in a segregated office for privacy reasons, but in the same place in San Mateo. I mean, we donโ€™t offshore or onshore our customer support because, again, if you donโ€™t understand your customer, youโ€™re not going to be able to serve them properly, and that is the most expensive thing that you can do, is lose that customer.
Seid: Just also in thinking about trust is, you know, I think, what we heard from Scott and Dane is this notion of here in this marketplace, you know, we have people on two sides of the coin, but if one of the folks who participates in our marketplace does something bad, itโ€™s us thatโ€™s responsible, and you know, thatโ€™s very much how we feel as well. And so, you know, I think companies that do a good job building trust, you know, basically take it personally. Say, look, the actors on our platform, if they do something bad, we canโ€™t just tell the other side, โ€œWell, it was that bad actor, and weโ€™ll punish them and weโ€™ll take them off our system.โ€ Itโ€™s basically us as the company, as the platform providers, that are really responsible and ultimately where the buck stops to create trust for all the people that participate.
Diab: Yeah, itโ€™s also not a slogan, right? I mean, trust is earned. Like, your actions speak louder than words. And, I mean, health insurance is a great example; if people donโ€™t trust their health insurance company because their action speaks louder than wordsโ€”they donโ€™t know why theyโ€™re paying for what theyโ€™re paying, they have issues like I had to deal with come up randomly, and theyโ€™re like, โ€œWait, I thought I was covered.โ€ And so I thinkโ€”going back to your initial questionโ€”I think being really in touchโ€”and Dane mentioned thisโ€”being really in touch with who your customer is, and making them feel like your customer, like somebody who isโ€”you have to earn their custom, in the traditional sense, is critical.
Howard: This is taking place for us, where in Silicon Valley, weโ€™re very much technology-focused, and letโ€™s build stuff, but in order to get this mindset with everyone making the product, weโ€™ll actually visit the hospitality business, and weโ€™ll learn what five- and six-star experiences do. When along the journey do they know someoneโ€™s name? How do you get a mindset to serve others? At what point in the experience does a personal person make sense? And itโ€™s not leading with the question, wow, thatโ€™s more expensiveโ€”itโ€™s just the right thing to do. So weโ€™re learning, just by sending colleagues to other industries and have them learn about how other industries have done it, and then from that standpoint of empathy, go, oh my gosh. Because everyone in themselves has been a customer in some way, and you put them on the call lines, you put them on theโ€”and oh my gosh, they come back changed. You know, from our call centers in Utah, because they go, wow, I had no idea. And when they have a chance to talk to customers, just that empathy piece clicks, and then start to approach their jobs differently.
Elron: Itโ€™s interesting. So weโ€™re learning that the startups are actually teaching the incumbents what good customer service is. Thatโ€™s and interesting angle. I was to shift kind of into a more strategic question. I asked some bankers about Lending Clubโ€”and it probably applies to you, tooโ€”and many of them said, โ€œWeโ€™ll see how they do. If it really works, weโ€™ll do it, and they will just disappear. For now, itโ€™s an interesting educational experiment for us.โ€ How would you respond to that?
Sanborn: You know, I think I would generally say that someone whoโ€”a banker who would say that hasnโ€™t probably looked at the model in-depth, because fundamentally the two wouldnโ€™t coexist. Meaning, could aโ€”with the idea that part of the advantages of the business model are frankly embedded in the fact that we are not a bank. So explaining what that means is, you know, banks are required to hold capital on reserve against loans theyโ€™re making, you know, and so that has a true cost to the banks. We obviously donโ€™t have to do that, because American taxpayers arenโ€™t on the hook for the loans; itโ€™s investor capital. So thereโ€™sโ€”that is an example, but there are a number of examples that are frankly just embedded in the model that, you know, you would have to choose to be a bank or to create a credit marketplace. You canโ€™t really do both. And then, you know, I could keep going, just in terms of the actual, the risk tolerance that banks exhibit, which is very different fromโ€”part of the power of our model is weโ€™re attracting a very broad range of investors, from individualsโ€”both high net worth and everyday retail investorsโ€”to insurance companies, pension funds, banks, and credit funds. And by having that diverse array of investors with diverse credit appetites, weโ€™re also able to offer better rates to a broader range of customers, which banks canโ€™t do.
Elron: So you donโ€™t see that yourโ€”the argument that youโ€™re siphoning kind of the high-value profits from the banking systemโ€”you donโ€™t see that as a validโ€ฆ?
Sanborn: So, what I would say is that if you look at why weโ€™re able to offer better rates to borrowers, it is due to the operating cost. So our operating costs are significantly lower than a bankโ€™s, so that right away compresses it, and a few of these other model advantages. And we have banks participating in the loans, and they are earning yields that absolutely meet their requirements, without having the cost and complexity to support itโ€”so there are banks that are funding loans on our platform, precisely because they can see that we can do this more efficiently than theyโ€™re able to do it on their own.
Elron: I want to ask a question about technology. Clearly one thing that Tesla did is do well, in terms of understanding the underlying technology and procurement of batteries, etcetera. How important is technology, technology platforms, in your success, in your ability to get into an established industry and then capture some of the value? Who wants toโ€ฆ.?
Howard: The interesting thing that I found, just in researching Tesla, is that thereโ€™s only six parts that you regularly have to replace in a Teslaโ€”four tires and two wiper blades. So, when you think about technology, itโ€™s to what end, and how does it benefit the customer? The customer doesnโ€™t really care about technologyโ€”or at least they donโ€™t so much anymore. The megapixel race is done, Mooreโ€™s Law has pretty much flattened out, and you know, it was actually John Maeda who said, โ€œAre we in a design bubble?โ€ No. Design has always been there, itโ€™s just that it matters more now.
So technology never exists without great design, but design matters more. So what youโ€™re seeing with Tesla is that they brought efficiencies into a mindset that allows more acceptance. Yeah, itโ€™s still remarkable that you get a 300 mile range, but the moment that that becomes a 400 mile range, itโ€™s taboo, right? So we seem to think of technology as cutting edge for the moment, but if you donโ€™t put in the customer experience side of it, itโ€™s kind of, to what end? So in a way, youโ€™re seeing this commoditization of technology, and thatโ€™s why youโ€™re seeing this elevated discussion of it, because every one of you open up your apps right nowโ€”the moment that we existed on the mobile apps, we donโ€™t compete with other commerce people; we compete with peopleโ€™s time, right? And so, in a way, how do you reduce that friction?
So to me itโ€™s, the conversation around technology is less as important as it was just a couple of years ago.
Diab: I would agree. I mean, if you break down what the word technology, where it comes from, its root is Greek. You know, technos and logosโ€”the knowledge of how to do something. Itโ€™s been obviously used in the software/hardware sense in the Valley, given where we are, but the knowledge of how to do something really well is the critical piece here, whether itโ€™s a processโ€”like how you answer the phones, how you interact with your customers, how you market, how you advertiseโ€”or whether itโ€™s how you write the code to do the things that we do. And I think from our vantage point, software is fantastic at making processes that are prone to human error much less prone to human error. I mean if you think about what a CPU is, itโ€™s a Central Processing Unitโ€”itโ€™s about making that process of instructionโ€”doing, if you will, or executionโ€”much more efficient and much less human error-prone, than it otherwise would be. And I think health insurance is just a fantastic example of where throwing thousands or tens of thousands of human bodies at a problem does not make it better, and I think thatโ€™s where weโ€™re sort of applyingโ€”to kind of borrow from the thread that Daneโ€™s coming downโ€”weโ€™re borrowing from technology where we need to, in order to make that ultimate end-user experience of how should it feel when you interact with your health insurance company to be as good as it possibly can. And weโ€™re using the technos and the logos, both in the softwareโ€”and even sometimes in the hardware and storage sets, for how we store dataโ€”but also in the human sense, for how do we sell people, how do we advertise to people, how do we treat them once we have them as customer, how do we keep them? So the technos and the logos applies to everything that we do, not just the code.
Sanborn: I think thereโ€™sโ€”to me, one of theโ€”the power of technology, I would say, in our case, it is one of the massive advantages, because we have enabled so many processes that would be traditionally done through a more manual means. But itโ€™s bigger thanโ€”it adds up to more than a cost savings of a technology process or the reduction in the errors; itโ€™s that the entire mentality of the company is built around this, right? This idea that we release software every two weeks, and that the entire company is focused on how do we use this to make the experience better, to make things work faster, more efficient? I mean, therein lies the really kind of sea change of difference, I think, between an incumbent, and kind of a Valley-basedโ€”or wherever, any kind of technology startup, wherever theyโ€™re based in the country.
Seid: I think it also, itโ€™s interesting, you know, I mentioned this wave of innovation that weโ€™re seeing now is in these regulated industries, but itโ€™s also, you know, connected to this notion of an end-to-end experience, and so you know, whether itโ€™s healthcare, or how you borrow or interact with your lender, or you know, Uber, or the Airbnbโ€”5 percent of the experience is on the website; a big part of your experience is when you show up to that personโ€™s home and what thatโ€™s like, you know?
Or our experience, you know? People arenโ€™t buying houses sight unseenโ€”they have to get inside the house. Theyโ€™re interacting with people, thereโ€™s a closing process that goes through a part offline, part online. You know, the notion of end-to-end, is, I think, very important and thinking through how technology and offline kind of weave themselves together to create an experience. I think itโ€™s something thatโ€™s more important now than in the past, given the industries that Internet is starting to tackle.
Elron: So you see yourselves as complementers, really, more than disruptors? Back to the question that we had earlier.
Seid: Or rethinking a process whereby its very nature, you have to think about how offline and online weave together, to make the whole experience, because in the industries that weโ€™re in, the whole experience cannot be done all online.
Elron:ย  We have time for questions now, and Iโ€™m sure you have some. I see a hand way back there. If you could please introduce yourself, and weโ€™ll get going.
Bell: Sure. Hi, Iโ€™m Brooks Bell with Brooks Bell. I have a question for Dane. So, trust is really hard to measure, and I applaud you guys for trying to encourage that by increasing some empathy at eBayโ€”but you guys are really well-known for a really sophisticated experimentation program, and having a pretty heavy incentive to optimize revenue throughout the company. And usually, andโ€”but also being very data-driven, making very sophisticated data-driven decisions. And since trust is so hard to measure, and since you have a such a strong culture towards being reliant on data, I can see it asโ€”my question is, how are you going to operationalize that successfully, and shift the culture to rely less on data and the outcomes of your experiments, to focus more on this more long-term relationship that youโ€™re building with your customer, that you canโ€™t really measure?
Howard: Very thoughtful question. Thereโ€™s two metrics that really drive a company like ours. Thereโ€™s GMV, which is really the revenue, that we measure a lot. And then thereโ€™s NPS, several companies use, which is net promoter score. And youโ€™re going to seeโ€”thatโ€™s how your customers refer you to others. And so, itโ€™s being rigorous, but also the leadership has to, in a way, diversify their portfolio of the future to take longer views on the customer. So data will tell us that buyers that are also sellers are better long-term, and so when you forecast that out, itโ€™s better to have someone in your ecosystem thatโ€™s participating in the marketplace on the buy and the sell side. And the more that they have transactions in that, they become trusted users and customers. So very thoughtful question. I donโ€™t think weโ€™ve nailed it yet, but other things Iโ€™m seeing is that leaders will lift up stories in and around internal events, to say look what this group did, look what this group did. And by lifting up, what youโ€™re really doing is lifting up a value of what you want to see more of. And so it takes some discipline by leaders to actually lift up those examples, and create a culture of rewarding customersโ€”and by the sheer fact of lifting up those stories, you create other followers inside the organization to say, โ€œI want to do that too.โ€
Elron: Thank you. Anyone else on the panel, about trust and measuring it?
Sanborn: I mean, I guess the only comment I would make is that I donโ€™t know that those two things are necessarily at contra purposes. Meaning, it could very well be that when youโ€™re optimizing for that data, youโ€™re actually, that is another signal that you are actually connecting with your customer in the right way, and you can be creating more trust.
Seid: In terms of the quantifying part of it, I think there is a way to quantify it, which is through policies, rewards, and penalties, and to say, okay, here are the thing that we love, that create a lot of trust, and weโ€™re going to create rewards around that, that are very tangible, to either the buyer or the seller, and penalties or disincentives for things that you donโ€™t like, that remove trustโ€”and again, use that very measurable aspect to create the right behavior and improve the overall level of trust.
Diab: The only thing I would add is, I think trust is a consequence of listeningโ€”Iโ€™m kind of probably stating the obviousโ€”so whether itโ€™s in a personal relationship or a commercial one, if your customer feels like youโ€™re listening to them, they will probably trust you. And so I think whatโ€™s great about the era that we live is the tools that we have available to us to listen to customers are quite sophisticated, whether itโ€™s the qualitative, like, listening to recorded customer service calls, or whether itโ€™s instrumenting your site or your app to measure falloff or attrition, or whatever it isโ€”you know, I think you can have a much more holistic picture of what that conversation looks like. But if your customer feels like youโ€™re not listening to themโ€”meaning youโ€™re not taking that data in, and then doing something with it that they want you to doโ€”it doesnโ€™t matter. You can instrument your site or your app, or whatever experience you have, any way you want to, and if itโ€™s not improving, people are going to leave.
Elron:ย  How big a deal is social listening? If I like, type, โ€œLending Club reviews,โ€ you know whatโ€™s going to come up?
Sanborn: Yep. Yeah, no, itโ€™s a big deal for us on all fronts, both the on-site, off-siteโ€”we also measure NPS. We have a robust monitoring program of all of our contact center touchpoints, both by the managers in those groups, as well as kind of a second line, independent from the managers, to beโ€”so we take it very, very, very, very seriously, and itโ€™s part of, you know, we track NPS back to individuals, so we take very seriously.
Elron: Okay. Henrick had a question, right here, in the first row.
Klagges: Yeah, so my name is Henrick Klagges, Iโ€™m from Germany and I work for TNG, which I founded, which is The Nerd Group. We are a group of programmers, so we are software all the time, and actually some of the German car companies are our clients, so maybe itโ€™s a partial comment, but are you actually sure that Tesla such a role model? Isnโ€™t this the emperorโ€™s new car company? Because if you give me half a billion dollars, I can certainly buy and build you something which may be impressive, but itโ€™s a very hard problem to have a car company thatโ€™s actually profitable, that manages a brand, that is going to be there over the long term. Itโ€™s not a problem, building a car. You donโ€™t even have to do it yourselfโ€”you can simply buy a Lotus and put an electric engine in. Or you go to one of the big suppliers, like Porsche or Continental, who will give you everything, essentially, to buy it. They will even build the X3 for BMW, with [โ€ฆ]. So are you not chasing a dream here? Tesla right now is cool, yeah. Itโ€™s like the new rock band, U2, which nobody has heard before, but three years down the road, people will say, โ€œOh, they got commercial, they sold out.โ€ Itโ€™s not so cool, thereโ€™s no social distinction anymore to own one, but there will be a Toyota, $50,000 cheaper, with a worldwide warranty. Isnโ€™t this just a temporary blip? Where they engendered ideas, were very, very ambitious, bought nice German robotsโ€”I really much appreciated, because they are made next to my hometownโ€”but are they here to stay? And if they are not, then you should not be inspired by them, at least when it comes to your total business modelโ€”but being complimentary, like you are, is actually much smarter, because it will survive.
Elron: Okay. So youโ€™re challenging the premise of the panel. Thatโ€™s great.
Diab: Iโ€™m the wrong guy to answer that question. I drive a Tesla, so Iโ€™ll recuse myself.
Elron: Okay.
Sanborn: And I guess I would say, from my personal perspectiveโ€”Iโ€™m not speaking on behalf of the company hereโ€”I would say, I have no comment on the business model. To me itโ€™s about the scope of their ambition, and what theyโ€™re inspiring. Thatโ€™s what resonates with me. Notโ€”I donโ€™t think the bookโ€™s been written yet, right? Iโ€™m impressed by the scale of the ambition, and the fact that theyโ€™ve put out, by most accounts, the best vehicle on the road, at a price point that is on par with its peers.
Seid: And I think, you know, a lot of their aspiration and what theyโ€™ve done, you know, you think about rethinking an end-to-end experience. The weaving together, like weโ€™ve talked about, of technology and less technology-oriented components, to really redefine what it means, you know, in that category. Tackling a very regulated industry with lots of entrenched kind of interestsโ€”you know, I think thatโ€™s what applies to all of us and how we think through that with our respective industries.
Howard: Peter said it really well yesterday. He said, โ€œWhy do startups exist? Itโ€™s because big companies canโ€™t really get out of their own political way.โ€ And it feels like Tesla is relevant right now, just like several other things were relevant several years ago. When I spoke to Franz, he had worked for a lot of those automotive companies, and he took a big risk. So great risk-takers risk a lot to go do great things. And we canโ€™t just look at Tesla as just this entity unto itself; itโ€™s filled with people, and those people make amazing things. And so you, another question to ask is, would Tesla be who it is without those people?
I often get questions, because Iโ€™ve worked for some big companies. And you say, โ€œOh, I work at so-and-so,โ€ or โ€œI work at eBay,โ€ and the next question is, โ€œWell, what years were you there?โ€ And this might be one of those years that maybe itโ€™s way cool to work at Tesla. Further down, it may not be as cool, but they have a chance to evolve who they are in the cycles of who they are. So will this be a relevant panel three years from now? Who knows? You asked a fair question. But I think what they did well is protect small teams. They took extraordinary risk, and they were able to leapfrog several things that big companies werenโ€™t doing, because they werenโ€™t getting out of their own way. And you have a dynamic leader that enabled that to happen. So thatโ€™s what I take away. And they did it all with empathetic design, and put something out there that you fall in love with.
Diab: Yeah, Iโ€™d also echo something that Jake said, which is that they focused on the experience in its totality. And so, having been the owner of a German car in the past, I can tell you the engineering is fabulous on a German car, but the customer experience is not always fabulous. And so just simple things like the fact that the software updates overnightโ€”you know, in my car, when Iโ€™m sleeping, over Wi-Fiโ€”is a great thing. I donโ€™t have to actually take the car in to have them issue a patch, like, in the actual service station. So I think your question about, are they deploying capital efficientlyโ€”itโ€™s probably a little bit neither here nor there, in terms of answering whether or not an industry will have its Tesla. I think actually they will succeed, and I think Tesla will probably be one of those great examples where you can actually deploy a lot of capital and achieve rapid results, if you have a very precise and clear mission. But again, I think the juryโ€™s still out.
Elron: And Henrick, just a quick reminder, that in this country, except for our sponsors, Ford, the car companies were bankrupt five or six years ago. So itโ€™s a little bit different.
We have a question there. Elena? Go ahead.
Kvochko: Thank you, Dan. So, my question is actually related on theโ€”
Elron: You want to say who you are?
Kvochko: Elena Kvochko, World Economic Forum. I had a related question on the ambition. So the question, โ€œWill every industry have its Tesla?โ€ puts a lot of pressure on companies to be innovative and cutting edge. But do you think every company needs to be innovative and cutting edge? And also, can you think of industries that may not need a Tesla at the moment?
Elron: Okay, great question. Who wants toโ€”
Diab: I mean, Iโ€™m the founder of a startup, and so you donโ€™t start a company unless youโ€™re trying to innovate. I think thatโ€™sโ€”that feels pointless to me. I donโ€™t know that if you are an incumbent, necessarily, thatโ€™s a successful incumbent, that you need to innovate, per se, but I do thinkโ€”kind of going back to the technology question that Dan asked earlierโ€”I think that it is human nature to try to optimize, or do things better than theyโ€™ve been done in the past. So whether youโ€™re innovating within an incumbent organization, or innovating in an industry where the rate of innovation may not be quite as rapid as others, I think itโ€™s just human nature to want to do things better.
I mean, take this hotel as an example. I mean, if we came here five years ago, it probably didnโ€™t look the same, probably didnโ€™t have the same kind of customer service, and theyโ€™ve managed to sort of maintain their position in this hotel market because they continuously improve the service, the dรฉcor, the food, etcetera. So I think itโ€™s just human nature to want to do things better.
Seid: You know, I think one way to answer to the question is to say well, what happens if you donโ€™t innovate, right? And you know, an example could be, the U.S. government, over the last couple of years, where weโ€™ve had kind of a stalled out, you know, process in Congress, so they havenโ€™t been able to innovate, pass many laws, and itโ€™s created a lot of frustration and you know, they donโ€™t have to innovate. Weโ€™re not going to all uprise tomorrow if they donโ€™t do something now, or two years from now, or five years from now. But you look at the problems that happen when there isnโ€™t innovation in an organization that doesnโ€™t have to innovateโ€”you know, there are stakeholders, and the stakeholders will feel the pain of that lack of innovation. So I would argue, you know, every organization does have to innovate, because the world changes. Does every organization have to? No, they donโ€™t, but the stakeholders would feel the consequences.
Howard: Tesla put out 2,500 cars, the first Roadster. They have just shy, I think, of 30,000 now. So the hardest thing to do is to innovate at scale, I think most entrepreneurs will tell you this. So, I liked your questionโ€”what industry is needing the next Teslaโ€”but I liked the tone of this morningโ€™s panel, which was, how do customer-ledโ€”how does that diffuse industries. So is there a customer or group of customers somewhere in the world that are demanding something that they donโ€™t have now? And to me, that is an interesting way to look at how things might evolve. So thatโ€™sโ€”but thank you for the question.
Elron: Itโ€™s a good question. We have time for a very short answer to one last questionโ€”I apologize to all those who raised their hands. Go aheadโ€”can you make it a short one, please?
Feller: Yes, yes. Jessie Feller, with Meeting of the Minds. This is for Ali. I guess this is kind of specific, but how are you guys, for instance, like, contracting with CPMC? Do you go through health insurance companies, or do you provide your own plans, and then how are you interacting with ACA and Covered California, for instance? I know you can get your own plan as a business, you know, all those bureaucratic nightmare questions.
Elron: Yeah, maybe you can answer shortly now, and then give all the answers in detail later?
Diab: Sure.
Elron: We donโ€™t even know what the acronyms mean, butโ€”
Diab: Yeah, the short answer is, we partner with networks for access, so you can actually show a card thatโ€™s recognized by the provider when you go to see the doctor. We think thatโ€™s important in terms of reducing the friction to visitation. And then to answer your second pointโ€”the ACA actually doesnโ€™t impact us all that much, because self-insured and self-funded plans are actually governed by a body of law called ERISA, which is employer benefit law, which it outside ofโ€”not completelyโ€”but largely outside of the rubric of the ACA. So you can think of sort of exchanges for individuals and very, very small groups, and self-insured plans, kind of mid- and larger-sized employers.
Elron:ย  So weโ€™ll wrap up. We heard about whether itโ€™s better to disrupt or to complement. We heard about the role of trust and empathy. We heard about the role of technology and platforms, and we heard about business models, and how they evolve in the context of incumbents. So with that, lots of material to think about. Iโ€™m sure weโ€™ll continue the conversations over coffee later. I would like to ask you to join me in thanking the panel. Thank you.

Participants

Ali Diab

Co-founder and CEO, Collective Health

Dane Howard

Director, Global Brand Experience, eBay Inc.

Jake Seid

Managing Director, Stone Bridge Ventures

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