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| World Marketplace |
Emissions Accomplished
Richard L. Sandor
05/01/2006
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The World’s Biggest Market? The launch of the European Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS)
has boosted the global market for emissions trading. The EU-ETS, which opened in
January 2005, allocates emission allowances to its 25 member states. Each state,
in turn, distributes these allowances to large European emitters using a
cap-and-trade system. In its first 14 months of existence, the total value of
trades in the mandatory EU-ETS crossed e10.6 billion. The components for a global emissions
trading market are now in place.New global warming initiatives are based on the premise
that trading can achieve significant emission reductions at a cost far below
what would have been realized under a command-and-control policy. | Today the Chicago Climate Exchange is active in the European
ETS through ECX, a fully owned subsidiary of CCX. ECX offered the first quoted
and cleared product for European carbon, with financially guaranteed contracts
by LCH.Clearnet in London. ECX began trading futures on the International
Petroleum Exchange (now called ICE Futures) in April 2005, believing its product
was a natural for the energy market. On its first day, it traded 108,000 metric
tons of carbon dioxide. Ten weeks later, that figure hit 1 million tons per day.
Within four months, the ECX established itself as the leading exchange-traded
product in the field, with a volume of more than 150 million metric tons. With
average daily volumes of 1 million metric tons of CO2, and more than 85 percent of the market share
among active exchanges, ECX futures have become the premier products for trading
in Europe. Members active in ICE Futures include most of the leading European
and U.S. banks and some of the world’s most prestigious industrial concerns.CARBON EMISSIONS INVESTMENT FUNDS
Assets: $265
million Headquarters: London (incorporated on the Isle of
Man)Activity: The core of its
portfolios is a long position in carbon assets (credits). The company also does
some trading and invests in other emissions assets.
Assets: $550 million Headquarters: New York Activity: Natsource’s Greenhouse Gas Credit Aggregation Pool
(GG-CAP) is the world’s first private-sector mechanism that will purchase and
manage delivery of a large pool of greenhouse gas emission reduction credits,
which buyers can use to comply with emission reduction
requirements.
Assets: $150 million Headquarters:
London Activity: Invests in emission
reduction projects around the world. Also trades in the EU Emissions Trading
Scheme (EU-ETS).
Assets: $130
million Headquarters: Paris Activity: CDC/IXIS’ European Carbon Fund buys and sells emissions credits. It helps
EU industries manage their long-term exposure to emissions reduction
constraints. | Despite the apparent disparity between these markets, the
contours of a global marketplace are beginning to emerge. Markets naturally form
independently, coalescing and harmonizing at a later stage. Historically, the
evolution of the cotton market in the 19th century is one example; local trading
hubs developed around Liverpool, New Orleans and Mumbai with varied standards
and practices, and ultimately became consolidated. Many international
arrangements have also followed this pattern: The EU is a recent example, having
developed from coal and steel agreements in the 1950s to the monetary union in
2000. While emissions trading prices in Europe are $30 per ton, they trade for
approximately $2 per ton on the Chicago-based CCX. This disparity exists because
European market is mandatory and based on one gas, while the U.S. exchange is
voluntary and trades multiple types of gases. If a global system operated under
one set of rules, prices would likely converge.The growing activity in this arena has provoked a surge of
interest from public and private investors, as evidenced by the growth of funds,
hedge funds and proprietary trading desks specializing in emissions trading.
More than 20 targeted funds have raised more than $2 billion to invest in
projects or new technologies that generate carbon credits as an investment
strategy. Moreover, firms directly involved in originating environmental
credits, such as AgCert, Econergy and EcoSecurities, have seen successful public
offerings in recent months. Emissions trading is still in its infancy, and challenges
remain. We have proven some things, but we still have a long way to go. The
world faces some massive environmental problems that will take decades for us to
learn how to manage. With that in mind, many analysts believe that the current
global emissions market is merely the start of what could be the biggest
financial market in the world. I am as excited about this development as I was
when we were involved with the birth of financial futures in the 1970s. Richard L. Sandor is chairman and CEO of the Chicago Climate
Exchange. He has been lauded as "the father" of the multitrillion-dollar
interest-rate futures markets now traded worldwide.
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