In December, the heads of 13 Asian governments will gather in Kuala Lumpur,
Malaysia, in the first-ever East Asian summit. The United States is not
invited.
Ten members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN) will attend, along with China, Japan and South Korea. The group is known
to Asia watchers as ASEAN +3. Besides their interest in building stronger
regional trade and economic ties, they have a number of common issues to work
out among themselves, including security problems, crime and health
concerns.
Chinese leaders are committed to economic modernization, not only
because it will make China strong but also because they need it to
sustain popular support. |
From a U.S. perspective, the summit agenda seems vague. Malaysian
Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi describes it as “the first milestone on the
route to the East Asian Community.” But a supra-national Asian Union comparable
to the European Union is not remotely in the cards. Asians’ huge stake in North
American and European markets rules out a protectionist Fortress Asia. The first
effort to establish such a grouping, spearheaded in the early 1990s by former
Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, aroused fears of a closed and
implicitly anti-American bloc. By contrast, Asian leaders are presenting the
current drive as a fluid, benign effort to address common challenges based on an
outward-oriented, cosmopolitan East Asian identity.
What is clear, though, is
that the countries of this Asian-Pacific pact believe that since the 1990s, the
United States has lost interest in their part of the world. In the meantime,
these countries have formed their own preferential bilateral and regional trade
agreements that engender closer relationships. These agreements have both
commercial and symbolic value in Asia, and many Asians think the United States
has not paid enough attention to the diplomatic message behind them. The United
States still dominates the balance of power in the Asian Pacific region, but
China (and increasingly India) is gaining ground in the influence game. The
ASEAN +3 grouping puts America’s broader strategic interests at risk, however,
not because of what China is doing, but because of what the United States is not
doing.
Malign Neglect In recent trips to Southeast Asia, I have met with numerous
concerned Asians from business, government and academic circles who have asked
me, “Why isn’t the United States paying attention to this region?”
Tommy Koh,
a widely respected Singaporean diplomat and think tank leader, phrased regional
concerns eloquently in a recent article in PacNet, the online newsletter of the
East-West Center in Honolulu. “We do not wish to be treated either with benign
neglect or merely as the second front of the global war against terrorism,” Koh
writes. He suggests, as do many opinion leaders in the area, that the United
States hold its own summit between heads of state in ASEAN—as China, Japan,
Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand have all done. President Clinton
convened the Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Seattle in
1993, but U.S. interest in APEC began to wane in the second half of the Clinton
administration.
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
Brunei
Darussalam Cambodia Indonesia Laos Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam |
U.S. presidents generally do not like to travel halfway
around the world to meetings that offer no tangible outcome, while the Asian
leaders consider meetings along the line of the December summit important less
for addressing clear-cut goals than for relationship building. Moreover, we have
consistently refused to hold a summit with ASEAN itself because of our
legitimate dismay over the treatment of the popular opposition leader Aung San
Suu Kyi in Myanmar, which is a member of ASEAN but not APEC. Both political
parties in the United States have taken the position that such a summit could
legitimize Myanmar’s ruling military junta. Meanwhile, China and India are
courting Myanmar’s regime because of the country’s energy resources and
strategic location. Asian leaders, many of whom are dismayed by the ability of
single-issue constituencies to capture and narrow U.S. policy, would better understand a strategy of at least limited engagement.
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