Investors might measure the
growing interest in exchange traded funds (ETFs) by the attendance this past
March at the World Series of Exchange Traded Funds, the official name of an
annual event that began seven years ago. Back then, no more than 50 or so
attendees listened to presentations from product providers, index manufacturers
and exchanges. At this year’s event, 400 investors, financial advisors and
journalists doubled the attendance from just two years ago and stood (literally,
because seats were sold out) as testimony that ETFs have arrived.
It has been 13 years since State Street Global Advisors
introduced the first ETFs, tracking the performance of the S&P 500 index,
fondly called "spiders" for S&P’s Depository Receipts (SPDR). Quietly, this
investment vehicle developed into many shapes and sizes, spanning all asset
classes, industry groups and global regions. But it wasn’t until after the bear
market of 2000 to 2002 that ETFs gained notable recognition. Investors began to
realize that few managers of actively managed mutual funds actually beat their
market benchmarks over time.
The most compelling reason for the popularity of ETFs is liquidity. | Investors like such benefits as low fees, tax efficiency and
24/7 disclosure of the stocks in the underlying index, but it appears that the
most compelling reason for the popularity of ETFs is liquidity. At least
one-third of the money in ETFs comes from institutions—pension funds, hedge
funds, even actively managed mutual funds—and these investors look at ETFs as a
way to quickly go in and out of asset classes.
Swapping conventional mutual fund assets for ETFs is a growing
trend among institutional and individual investors, and there is still plenty of
room to grow. Total assets in the approximately 430 ETFs that exist in the
United States amount to $435 billion, while mutual funds comprise about $10.1
trillion in domestic assets. Industry forecasts expect ETFs to hit $1 trillion
in assets by 2010.
However, as ETFs grow, a chicken-or-egg question looms large.
As competition intensifies, ETF providers are turning to creative indexing
strategies, such as cap-weighting, equal-weighting, fundamentally weighting and
dividend-paying indices, as well as manufacturing new indices for the sole
purpose of wrapping ETFs around them. Among the large institutions that actively
manage ETFs in registration are Bear Stearns and Managed Shares, cofounded by
Gary Gastineau, who was instrumental in the introduction of many popular ETFs at
Nuveen Investments.
But if an institution actively manages an ETF, doesn’t it cease
to be an ETF? The way I see it, a fine line of demarcation exists. When managers
pick the stocks in an index prior to creating the index for an ETF, it is still
an ETF if it meets the following three conditions:
1. There is a highly disciplined set of criteria regarding
which stocks qualify for the index and which ones do not. If any wiggle room
exists in the criteria, it is not an ETF.
2. Investors can go online at any time of the day and see the
holdings in real time. By definition, ETFs are wholly transparent, while mutual
funds must disclose their holdings only every 90 days.
3. The management fees are no more than 75 basis points.
Investors considering an actively managed ETF should first ask:
What motivation does a big-time money manager have to create such a fund? The
money manager will have higher expense ratios than with a fund tied strictly to
an index, but lower management fees. The only reason a major institution would
do this is to capitalize on a hot trend, especially if the institution has
mutual funds that have been ho-hum performers.
On the other hand, it is too early in the game to dismiss the
new entrants that are true ETFs. Mutual funds went through a similar growth
spurt in the early 1980s, when new sector funds appeared every week amid
criticism that they were mainly marketing ploys. Now some 300 to 500 mutual
funds either close down or merge into stronger funds each year. We are at least
three to five years away from that kind of free-for-all among ETFs. They are not
supposed to be flashy and innovative, but they can provide a sober-headed way to
obtain exposure combined with diversification in a booming sector, such as
cancer-related healthcare, clean energy or Asian small caps. Bring them on.
Tom Lydon is editor of ETFtrends.com and president of Global
Trends Investments in Newport Beach, Calif.
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